【USDJPY】Market Analysis and Trading Strategies | Part 27 (July 3, 2025)

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USDJPY Market Analysis and Trading Strategies.

*Personal Opinion

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Waveforms of each time leg

Weekly

Downtrend.

The fifth wave of the Elliott Wave downtrend may have ended, signaling a possible reversal, or the fourth wave correction may still be ongoing, with the fifth wave yet to begin.

The weekly chart makes it difficult to grasp the overall direction.

Daily

From a bullish perspective, a range has formed between ¥142.3 and ¥148.5.

Although the price once climbed near the top of the range, it was sharply pushed back by a candlestick wick.

Selling pressure appears to be stronger at the moment.

However, since the price has dropped to the lower end of the range, there is a possibility that buying pressure will start to increase.

4-Hour

Downtrend.

The price rose to around the origin of the most recent low, then started to fall.

This move may be the fifth wave of the downtrend, or the correction may still be ongoing.

1-Hour

The trend has shifted from a downtrend to an uptrend.

The market is currently correcting down to the origin of the most recent high.

There was an economic indicator announcement yesterday.

As a result, the market became temporarily volatile.

Trade Strategies

If the trend shifts on the 1-hour chart, consider a short entry after waiting for the subsequent correction.

Price action needs to be carefully observed.

If the price rises again, consider a short entry up to the last lower high on the 4-hour chart.

If the trend shifts upward on the 4-hour chart, this strategy will be scrapped.

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Author of this article

Hi, I'm Kamepoko and I'm Japanese.
Born in 2001.
I summarize currency market analysis, trading strategies and technical knowledge.

I use Dow Theory, Elliott Wave, etc. to develop strategies.

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