Trade Journal: July 21, 2025

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USDJPY

  • Currency Pair: USDJPY
  • Position: sell
  • Lot Size: 0.02
  • Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.40
  • Profit/Loss: -$1.44

Entry Rationale

  • The outlook has shifted downward on both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts.
  • Given the strong bearish momentum on the lower timeframes, it seemed likely that the price would decline toward the previous high level on the daily chart.
  • A downtrend had formed on the 5-minute chart, prompting a pullback sell entry near the 21-period moving average.

Explained in detail in the market analysis article below↓

Entry Point, TP and SL Level

4h

1h

5m

Entry was taken on the pullback to the 21-period moving average on the 5-minute chart.

The take-profit target is set just before the previous high level on the daily chart.

The stop-loss was planned for when the price clearly broke above what was identified as the last swing high on the 5-minute chart.

Since that level was broken, the stop-loss was triggered.

Trade Review

The price did eventually fall to the originally planned take-profit zone, but the stop-loss placement was too loose.

It’s likely that the level identified as the swing high on the 5-minute chart wasn’t actually a valid swing point.

The entry was taken as soon as the price touched the 21-period moving average, but it would have been better to wait for clearer price action confirmation before entering.

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Author of this article

Hi, I'm Kamepoko and I'm Japanese.
Born in 2001.
I summarize currency market analysis, trading strategies and technical knowledge.

I use Dow Theory, Elliott Wave, etc. to develop strategies.

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